Mathys Picard vs Noah Lopez Cherubino Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Mathys Picard has won 44.90% of points on their second serve in recent months, while Noah Lopez Cherubino has won 47.73%. Does Cherubino's slight edge here give him a better chance in the match? Yes, it may.
• Return Game Stats: Picard dominates with a win rate of 53.85% on second serve returns compared to Cherubino's 43.81%; however, Cherubino leads slightly on first serve returns with 28.45% against Picard's 27.07%.
• Under Pressure: Cherubino is superior under pressure, saving 47.06% of breakpoints compared to Picard's 35.71%. How might this impact their match performance? Greater resilience can lead to winning critical points.
• Overall Performance: Picard has a 52.38% match win rate over the past year; Cherubino edges him with 59.26%. This difference suggests Cherubino might be more consistent overall.
• Best Surface: Picard excels on Hard courts with an 80% win rate, whereas Cherubino thrives on Clay, also with an 80% win ratio. How does their preferred surface influence their match results? Consideration of surface type is crucial in forecasting outcomes.
• Player Level and Event History: Picard and Cherubino both frequently compete in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, but Cherubino holds a marginally better win rate at 60.38% compared to Picard's 52.38%, which may speak to greater experience or form.
• Opponent Quality: Facing tougher opponents on average (rank 163.62), Picard has had a more challenging past year compared to Cherubino's 213.56-ranked opponents.
• Deciding Set Performance: If the match stretches to a deciding set, Cherubino seems favored with a 62% win rate, a significant advantage over Picard's 33%.
• Breakpoint Conversion: Cherubino demonstrates greater efficiency with a 36.78% conversion rate, offering a strategic advantage at critical points over Picard's 26.32%.

Editorial Prediction (November 19, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing the upcoming match between Mathys Picard and Noah Lopez Cherubino, various performance metrics reveal intriguing insights. Cherubino's slight advantage in second serve performance and breakpoint conversion could give him an edge in tight situations. Furthermore, his better record in saving breakpoints suggests resilience under pressure.

Picard excels in second serve returning, a strong skill that could disrupt Cherubino's service games. However, Cherubino's consistency across the last year, with a superior win rate, underlines a more reliable form.

The preferred surfaces of both players should not be overlooked. While Picard's strength lies on Hard courts, the match's surface might heavily matter. Cherubino's solid results on Clay may not translate directly, but his higher conversion of break points and success in close sets are noteworthy.

Given the comprehensive evaluation, Noah Lopez Cherubino appears to hold a subtle advantage over Mathys Picard, suggesting he is the more likely winner in this upcoming encounter. Nonetheless, Picard's ability to challenge high-ranked opponents cannot be discounted entirely, setting the stage for a potentially competitive match.